Snow Forecast 2019-20

In trying to decide significant weather events this year for Connecticut using Bradley Airport meteorological data., it was decided to start with  the summer average temperature and rainfall with possible modifications with September and October.  There were no one significant weather features this year.  The summer was rather warm without any dry spells.  The trend has continued into the fall.

The average data for the summer is:

Maximum Temperature              84.8

Minimum Temperature               62.1

Average Temperature                  73.5

Precipitation                                 8.73 inches

Years with similar summer statistics included the following years and the following winter snow  totals are given in the following table.

Year      Maximum Temperature              Precipitation     Snowfall

2010     84.5                                               9-.52                   84

1995     85.1                                               7.44                    85

1966     85.7                                               8.75                    59

Then I examined the data for September and October to see how the data was confirm in those months.

September

Yr                        T max    T Min    Precip

2019                   77.1      52.4      1.94

2010                   78.8      56.3      2.55

1995                   74.4      50.0      3.15

1966                   74.5      52.3      6.05

October

Yr                        T max    T Min    Precip

2019                   64.6      45.7      6.94  

2010                   62.7      42.9      5.31

1995                   67.7      43.9      9.46   

1966                   64.1      39.6      4.23

An examination of the monthly distribution shows the following average snowfalls

Nov Dec                           12

Jan                                    30

Feb                                   20

March                              10


Total                                 72 inches

Each of the three years the snow occurred within a six week period.  Two years were in January and one year was February/March.  Most of the snow will be from mid January to mid February.  How is that for going out on a limb over drifting snows.

The average snowfall at Bradley is 45 inches.  There were 40 inches in 2018-9.