Travel in Connecticut in the Early 1800s

Preface

Recently, the complete files of the Hartford Courant were made available in conjunction with newspapers.com.  I browsed the papers from 1820 to 1840 to find transportation related articles.  The following article was written to review the transportation options at the time in Hartford, which saw the peak of the stage coach era and the start of the railroads in Connecticut.  This may give some clues on why no direct rail route was constructed in northeastern Connecticut from Hartford to Worcester and Boston.

Background

After the Revolutionary War, transport of people and goods to the cities utilized sailing ships because the cities were located on the coast.  Overland travel generally consisted of short distances within a town by walking, horseback or with horse- or oxen-drawn wagons owned by farmers. The roads were at times so hard and rutted that they threatened to shake a vehicle to pieces and at other times, so muddy as to be virtually impassable. Travel over long distances was seldom made and required extensive planning. It took a week to go between New York and Boston.

Turnpike corporations formed and worked with the states along assigned routes to create roads suitable for improved travel. Connecticut chartered 77 turnpike corporations between 1790 and 1840 with the peak decade 1801 to 1810.  The large number of turnpike corporations resulted in the first large scale road building that linked cities overland in the new country.  More than 1,600 miles of turnpikes were built in Connecticut during this period and included the first bridge over the Connecticut River.

The most profitable turnpikes were from New Haven to Hartford, Hartford to Worcester and Boston, and Hartford to Albany.  By 1825, more than half of the turnpike ventures in the country were either partially or totally abandoned. In these cases, the town became responsible for maintaining the turnpikes. Most Connecticut turnpike corporations ceased before 1840, but most turnpikes remained open to the public. Many of the current state routes are closely aligned with the turnpikes.

The improvements in roads created a demand for better wheeled vehicles and allowed stagecoaches to become more regular during the early 1800s. The turnpikes allowed increased pleasure travel and commercial travel for farmers and allowed the textile industry to develop on inland rivers.  The building of the turnpikes significantly improved the comfort and speed for overland travel. Benjamin Silliman wrote in 1819 about his travels on a turnpike as: “The fine turnpike we commenced our journey was but a few years since a most rugged and uncomfortable road; now we passed it with ease and rapidity, scarcely perceiving its beautiful undulations.

One of the earliest textile mills was built by John Warburton in 1795, powered by the Tankerhoosen River in Vernon, to make stocking yarns and threads.   Peter Dobson, a manufacturing genius who emigrated from England, settled in Vernon, set up the first cotton spinning machinery in the state in 1810 and it made a variety of cotton yarn to sell to farmers’ wives to be woven into cloth on hand looms. The women made bed sheets, and other types of cloth were made into clothes.  Later factories made finished linen products. When the factories were built on the rivers in eastern Connecticut, it was easier when they were located near a turnpike to obtain supplies and to send the final product to the population centers using heavy wagons drawn by four, six and eight horses or oxen.

Hartford: Hub for Water and Land Transportation

Hartford was a major harbor for schooners, sloops and steamboats that traveled to New York on a regular basis via the Connecticut River carrying freight and passengers. By 1835, some lines had their sailing ships towed up and down river when necessary to maintain the schedule. All travel on the

Connecticut River ceased when the river froze over in the winter for several months each year.  When the river closed, teams using covered wagons provided for the delivery of goods to Boston and New Haven. 

Active stagecoach lines came from New Haven on a daily basis via the Berlin Turnpike.  Most lines east to Worchester, Boston or Providence originated from Hartford because of the bridge over the river.  Other well-traveled stagecoach routes went to Albany and Massachusetts.   Hartford became a major junction for the land and water routes between New York and Boston. Hartford had hotels for food and relaxation, such as the Hartford Hotel, the National Hotel, and the United States Hotel.

The Courant listed nine Schooners and 16 sloops that arrived in Hartford in one week in 1835 with  25 departures.  (7 /27/1835).  The larger ships took up to 100 passengers and freight on their trips.  From the advertisements in the Hartford Courant, one or more were departing each day to arrive in New York the following morning.  By 1830 two steamships also traveled between Hartford and New York.  In the 1830s, the number of steamships increased and competition was fierce for passengers with a $2 fare to New York.  (HC 11/25/1835).  In the long summer days, the steamships could travel in daylight by leaving at 6 AM.  In 1836, the Bunker Hill and Cleopatra both left Hartford on Monday, Wednesday and Friday at 2 PM for an overnight trip to New York.  However, the Bunker Hill published a notice it would leave at two minutes past two “to prevent the reckless destruction of their property and to place the traveling community in a situation where they shall not be necessarily exposed to injury.”  (HC 9/26/1836).

The stagecoach routes to Worcester and Boston departed daily, except Sundays.  In the 1830s, there were routes from four companies thru Tolland to Worcester departing Hartford at 9 PM, 3 AM, 6 AM and at 7 AM with some continuing to Boston.  Fares were $2 to Worcester and $4 to Boston. (HC 1 /13/1834).  There was also a direct route between Boston and New Haven that connected with a ship to New York over the Middle Turnpike with an overnight stay in Ashford.

Occasionally, stagecoach accidents were reported.  A serious accident occurred in Ashford when the coach descending a hill covered with ice slid from the road and was thrown over a railing and down a steep bank.  Several passengers were bruised and the driver broke his arm.  The horses became frightened and ran off with the front wheels.  One horse was badly damaged. (HC 1/13/1834)

The stagecoach allowed communication of news with the outside world and with the government centers in Hartford and New Haven and the commercial centers of New York and Boston to the small towns. The taverns at which stages stop were well kept and furnished with every accommodation.   The stage passed “ the most beautiful villages in New England and through a part of the county known for its beauty.” (7/6/1835)

Railroad: Hartford-to Worcester 

In 1830, the first railroad to transport passengers opened in Baltimore. By 1832, investors in Boston started to build railroads to Providence, Lowell, and Worcester.   By 1834, the Boston to Worcester railroad was 2/3 completed.  There were 9 stage lines between Hartford and Boston.  One stagecoach line adjusted their schedule to meet the railroad so that riders could leave Hartford at 3AM and be in Boston by 5PM with the stage meeting the railroad.

A charter for a railroad was granted from Hartford to Vernon to Bolton Notch to serve the quarry at the notch and the Vernon mills.  The Hartford and New Haven Railroad was raising money to start construction.  The railroad estimated the number of passengers using the stages between New Haven and Hartford were 18,000 per year and by steamboats between New York and Hartford to be about 30,000.  The number of passengers by steamboat from New York to Providence was estimated to be 50,000.  The railroad estimated there would be 7000 tons of freight annually from Meriden and Wallingford.  The railroad estimated that the manufacturers in Vernon used 10,000 tons of raw materials and returned it in manufactured articles.

A letter to the Hartford Courant from ‘S’ on Nov 24, 1834 indicated he attended the opening of the second section of the Boston-Worcester railroad with the Governor and many officials in attendance.  It was indicated the railroad would be extended westward beyond Worcester.  The officials of the present Worcester and Boston Road see “so much in favor of the route through Tolland to Hartford, that nothing but opposition, or apathy, on the part of our citizens will prevent it from coming here. “

On Dec 15, another letter indicated the Massachusetts legislature might decide on a route in January.  In March, the petition to the Massachusetts legislature for the Hartford Worcester railroad was referred to the following session.  Several cities organized meetings to discuss details for proposed routes to Boston or Worcester

Jan 26, 1835, ’W’ wrote to the editor:

“It is astonishing that there is so much apathy and indifference on the subject of a railroad from Hartford to connect with the Worcester railroad.  Delays are dangerous and surely it is in the case before us:  for the citizens of Hartford may be assured that if there is not a united effort made to retain and improve the advantages that we process, they will be improved by others.”

A series of meetings were organized to present the merits of the proposed routes and the effects on the local citizen.  A meeting in Hartford wanted to connect the New Haven Hartford line by the shortest practical route to Worcester.  The proposed direct route went from Worcester to Southbridge, Sturbridge, Brimfield, and Wales in MA and Stafford, Tolland, Vernon, Manchester, East Hartford to Hartford. 

Delegates from all the affected towns met on March 16 in Hartford to consider the construction of such a line. It was stated that the work would increase the population, advance trade and commerce, and more fully develop local resources.

A meeting in Windham considered the route proposed from Bolton Notch through the Hop River valley in Coventry to Windham, Chaplin, Ashford, Woodstock to Southbridge to meet the railroad proceeding west from Worcester.   The meeting wanted the proposed route surveyed to develop a cost estimate.

Norwich on January 12, 1835 proposed that an existing charter from Norwich to Boston be changed to Worcester and go through Ward, Oxford, Webster and Dudley in MA and the Quinebaug Valley in CT. This could be combined with a new road from Norwich to Windham to Bolton to connect with the charter from Hartford to Bolton.  There were many manufacturers along these routes that benefit from the railroad. 

The fourth route was to have the road go through Springfield and connect with a road south to Hartford along the Connecticut River.  This route would be 75 miles, longer than the direct route of 50 miles.

A convention was held in Worcester on July 2nd to discuss rail routes to Hartford with 300 delegates.  About 60 delegates were named from Central Connecticut for each of the towns that for which a proposed railroad line would transverse.  Hartford named 34 men.  Nine men represented Vernon and Stafford and six represented Windham.  (No delegates were named from Tolland.)  Additional delegates represented the Norwich proposal and Massachusetts towns.  Reports were presented for each of the routes.

The convention decided that “it is inexpedient to express any opinion as to the best mode for extending the railroad from Worcester towards New York.”  Reports were given for each of the routes.  One resolution recommended the terminus of the Norwich line be Worcester, instead of Boston.  The supporters of the direct route had few particulars on the route compared to the other routes but seem to have the most support. (HC 7/13/35).

‘Charter Oak’ wrote a lengthy letter (HC 7/20/1835) extolling the virtues of the direct route to Hartford from Worcester.  He wrote “Citizens of Hartford!  Are you willing to let the other projects go forward and you remain silent?”

The rail line was completed to Worcester from Boston in the spring of 1835 with the total trip, including stops, taking three hours. 

The final Route from Worcester to Springfield was decided at the end of the year and the work was put under a contract for construction.  It was completed in 1840 to Springfield and Albany by 1842.  The Norwich and Worcester railroad was completed in 1840.  The road from New Haven to Hartford was completed in 1839 and extended to Springfield in 1840.  The Hartford, Bolton, and Windham route was completed as part of the Newberg to Providence Railroad in 1850.

However, neither the direct route from Vernon to Worcester or the route south from Southbridge to Windham were started.  Why were these routes never built?  One may have been the apathy of the investors and citizens of Hartford and the towns along the route.  The other was the opposition from investors that were making money from the continuation of the stages.

At the time, Tolland had a large political influence on state politics and none of the leaders attended the Worcester Convention.  And opposition came from the tavern owner, Elijah Smith, where at least two stage routes changed their horses.  In 1836, the Hartford and Worcester Railroad Turnpike Corporation was formed to develop a turnpike from the Centre Turnpike in Willington or Ashford to the Worcester Railroad Station. Elijah Smith, the tavern owner was a founder of the corporation and Loren Waldo was on a committee to determine the final route. This was an effort to continue traffic on the Centre Turnpike with connections to the Worcester rail line. The turnpike was never built.

By 1851, the last stagecoach traveled from Hartford to Worcester and travelers transferred to the railroads.

2021-2 Snowfall Forecast for BDL

Forecasts of snow amounts for the coming winter are difficult to make.  I use a method that assumes the patterns established in the summer (data from June, July, August) will continue thru the following winter.  Then I find similar summer patterns in the NOAA data for Bradley Airport and determine what the following winter produced.  Last year, the most noteworthy description of the summer was occasional hot spells with heavy and lengthy periods of precipitation.

One of the larger influences on the seasonal climate normality is the ENDO index of sea surface temperature in the equatorial Pacific.  The forecast for the coming winter is that it will be negative.

The data for the 8 years in maximum precipitation at Bradley Airport since 1949 are shown in the table.  I also added the ENSO index for summer and the following winter from NOAA. The index is -.5 or lower for La Nina years.  Snowfall for the following winter is also included.

YearN 90+T MaxT MinT AvgRainENSO Index summer/winterSnow DJF+M
20212383.1763.4673.3221.69-.4,-1P         
20131682.8762.6072.6821.86-.4,-.450.1+1
19821182.6258.6470.6320.611.7,0.845.3+1
20081182.6261.5672.0920.49-.8,-.838.5+7
2009979.5560.26    69.9120.29-.5,-.730.6+8
20111482.9561.5572.2520.14-.7,-.512.7+2
20182484.3362.4873.4119.52.1,.721.8+10
19552583.2761.4772.3927.85-.7,-.824.5+43

          p   Predicted         DJF+M=December, January, February and March 

The 2013, 1982, and 2018 had a positive ENSO index for the following winter and will not be used.  The three years 2008, 2009 and 2011 are closest in precipitation totals.  (October snowfall is not included in the winter total in 2011.)  The average snowfall for these years gives 27 inches for DJF and 8 inches for March.  The expected range of snowfall would be 30 to 40 inches as most likely.  The normal in about 45 inches.  The total forecast for the year Dec-March is 35 inches of snow at Bradley Airport.    Higher amounts would be expected in the hills and lower amounts along Long Island Sound. 

Tolland CT Golden Age

In 1838, Tolland was enjoying its Golden Age.  It was a vibrant and prosperous county seat for Tolland County on the junction of several turnpikes that connected to the major cities in Southern New England and beyond.   Tolland had a central commercial area along the Highway (now called the Green) and farms in the surrounding areas with few woodlands. Numerous lawyers at the Court House and travelers maintained a constant flow of people.  Stagecoaches traveling between Hartford and Worcester-Boston or Springfield and Norwich transporting travelers and mail were a common sight on the roads.

The ‘Highway’

Merchants, taverns, churches and fine homes by the town’s professionals (physicians and about five attorneys), including the home of Senator Calvin Wiley (now called  the Tobiassen House),  surrounded the central ‘Highway’ (the Green today). During the period of 1820 to 1838, the central area of Tolland developed to provide the availability of most items that were needed to live in relative comfort. 

Three general stores surrounded the ‘Highway’ including Richmond’s, Smith’s, and Piken’s.  Danford Richmond opened a general store near the jail about 1829 (now the Tolland Red and White store). He advertised an amazing variety of “Dry Goods, Groceries, Crockery, Glass and Hard Ware.”   The items listed include English silk, Cashmere and Persian shawls, lace, bonnets, gilt clasps for men and ladies, silk, flag and bandanna handkerchiefs, and numerous varieties of shoes and boots. Hard drinks included rum, cognac, brandy, gin, port and several wines. Snuff and tobacco and the ink powders made locally by John Bliss were also sold. He listed garden seeds of an astonishing variety and grass seed.

Ira Marvin offered carriage making and repairs (his place was near the present Preschool of the Arts).

Henry Noble, a plough and wagon maker, offered wagons “constantly at hand” plus repairs to carriages at his “old stand opposite the Courthouse.”   J. Hewlett offered to make secretaries, sideboards, bureaus, desks, and bedsteads and made-to-order coffins.  Luther Eaton was a tailor.  There were also hatters, shoemakers, and a blacksmith.  Two taverns providing lodging, food, and drinks were located on the ‘Highway’. Smith’s Tavern was next to the Court House and the County House was in the front of the jail.  Steele’s Tavern was nearby on Old Post Rd.

A new Court House was built in 1822 in the Federal style and was the meeting place for the Superior Court and the Court of Common Pleas. Many of the prosperous lawyers came to the Court House with fancy carriages. Horse sheds were located to the rear of the building.  The Tolland County Mutual Fire Insurance Company (located on the end of the current Cider Mill Road) was chartered in May 1828 and began issuing policies in January 1829. The Tolland County Bank was built in 1829 next to the Court House.  The Baptist church was built in 1832 north of the Court House and Smith’s Tavern.

The newest building on the ‘Highway’ was the Congregational Church of Tolland with an interior balcony. The old church was removed from the Highway (near the flag pole on the Green today).

]

Travelers

Tolland was on the junction of turnpikes to Hartford, Springfield, Stafford/Worcester/Boston, Ashford/Boston/Providence, and Windham/Norwich that were built in the early 1800s. While the turnpikes were crude by modern standards, they demonstrated many improvements over the earlier roads. Most turnpikes were two-way thoroughfares, about 24 feet wide. To avoid muddiness and road erosion, drainage was provided by giving the road a convex surface to shed the water by digging ditches on both sides and piling up the dirt to crown the center of the road, leaving a road without shoulders.

The turnpikes allowed increased pleasure travel and commercial travel for farmers and the textile industry to send their goods to the nearby population centers or to the coast for trading. Large number of heavy wagons drawn by four, six and eight horses or oxen passed along the turnpikes laden with produce for the market and returned with merchandise for the country stores. The improvements in roads allowed stagecoaches to maintain a regular schedule.  

Tolland was the center of the transportation system in northeastern Connecticut. About ten stagecoaches arrived and departed six days a week with passengers, news, and mail between Hartford, Worcester, Boston, Springfield, and Norwich. The Hartford-Tolland-Worcester route had the heaviest travel with 30,000 passengers per year. The presence of several stagecoach routes through town provided prosperity to the taverns and to the nearby farmers.

Stagecoach taverns at endpoints of the stages (about 18 miles long) , which included Smith’s Tavern, were usually run by a man of some standing in the community where horses were changed, watered, fed and rested.  Oil was rubbed on the harness and the wheels greased. If a meal were being served or the stagecoach stopping for the night, the tavern owner would be at the entrance with a smiling face greeting the passengers as they entered the tavern. Four new horses were attached to continue the journey to the next stage end point. Where meals were not taken, teams were changed as quickly as possible, and the vehicle hurried onward to its destination. Generally, only one stagecoach company would regularly stop at a tavern.

The travelers had ample time to enjoy the scenery while traveling many hours in the stagecoach. In the Puritanical era renowned for its propriety and formality, perfect strangers, men and women, might have to interlock knees in the crowded space or rest a weary head on another’s shoulder. Some passengers may drink too much alcohol and others may form impromptu songfests. The public seldom complained of the uncomfortable and weary condition of the stagecoach journey. Yet the happenings of a stagecoach journey were endured with fortitude.

Smith’s Tavern was renowned for its cuisine that was artfully prepared and generously dispensed. Most of the food was purchased from the local farmers including beef, veal, pork, turkey and chickens. Apples were generally purchased for pies. Bread and gingerbread were often purchased from nearby households. Potatoes, beans, root vegetables and salad greens might be from the owner’s garden or nearby farms. Apples, potatoes, and various vegetables often were stored in pits in the earth in the fall for winter use, protected from freezing by straw heaped above. When the contents were taken out, they were as fresh as when buried. By mixing shelled lima beans with corn cut from the cob, an Indian food called succotash was produced. All of the cooking was done over an open fire. Potatoes were baked in the ashes, meats were roasted by the blaze or boiled in a kettle, and bread was done to a burn over the fire or baked in a “Dutch” oven. Tea and coffee were generally served. Most taverns took great pains to keep the bar well supplied. Hard liquors included brandy, Holland gin, and New England rum. Milder alcoholic beverages included Lisbon wine, strong beer and locally pressed hard cider. And ‘cegars’ were available for the patrons. A frequent feature of the meal time was the speed in which the meal was consumed because of the haste of the stagecoach travel.

Bathtubs were unknown in early taverns. No one thought of taking a bath even from a pail or small vessel during the winter and most persons refrained through the greater portion of the year. In early taverns, the face and hands were washed in a small tin basin at a wooden sink.

Stagecoach drivers were larger-than-life figures generally with large physical stature and often had a quick wit. Going over the same roads, they grew deeply versed in the local lore and history and the traditions and tales of each locality. They had great influence in the community and their word was law. They kept the passengers in a jovial mood with their observations and friendliness. The drivers were responsible for the horses and their care and for countless errands entrusted to memory. The stage drivers were universally kind and careful of all children placed under their charge; even young children, boys and girls, were entrusted to their care.

Events in 1838

On “Court Days,” Tolland was busy with persons from the entire county in attendance such that the taverns, shops and the general stores hired extra help and Smith’s Tavern and the County House had a lavish dinner. (In the 1830s, the mid-day meal was called dinner and the evening meal was called supper.)

The most memorable event was when Reverend Abram Marsh first led his flock to the new Congregational Church of Tolland on the eventful dedication day, Thursday October 25, 1838.  The congregation and friends wended their way from different quarters of the village, some driving with horses from outlying farms.  The men wore their Sunday dress clothes.  For women, it was the day of full skirts often ruffled to the tight waist-line, of hair looped up under the ears and gathered in a twist low at the back of the neck, sometimes in a net. The beautiful wide collars, hand embroidered, adorned some gowns, no doubt, and were fastened with brooches, cameos in twisted gold setting or perhaps made from the hair of some “dear departed one.” 

The new church was 55 by 38 feet and was built using wood from the old church. A belfry replaced the steeple for the bell from the old church. The congregation sat in buttoned-up pews looking up to the preacher in the high pulpit with its red velvet cushioned top upon which lay the big Bible.  Two tall brass oil lamps were located on each side of the pulpit.  At both sides, there were woodburning stoves with long stove pipes far up on the high walls in the front supported by a wire arrangement.  Music was provided by bass viol and melodeon and “the singing was beautiful.”  The congregation listened for more than an hour to the Dedication sermon. 

The major holidays were Independence Day and Thanksgiving. On July 4th, residents went to a church to hear a sermon by one of the ministers. Afterwards, they congregated on the center of the ‘Highway’ to hear the reading of the Declaration of Independence and speeches by prominent residents. Thanksgiving was celebrated in April.

Taverns served as meeting places where friends engaged in casual conversation or gathered for celebrations. Dancing became popular after the American Revolution. A tidbit published in a newspaper said, “Forty youths of each sex attended an elegant ball at Elijah Smith’s Tavern on March 12, 1801.”  This was an early indication for the use of leisure time by the young residents and that earlier religious constraints were lessening. Numerous balls celebrated different events such as Independence Day, birthdays and exhibitions at close of a school term. Student balls occurred during the year with cotillion parties in private homes.

No organized sports were held at the time because the Puritan perspective was that sports were a waste of time. Organized sports also led to rough behaviors and gambling, which were frowned on. Many young men went hunting or fishing as they were viewed as productive uses of leisure time. Militia training days were a source of local amusement. The militia mustered on the ‘Highway’ in front of spectators with various displays of firing in the morning and a staged battle of the units in the afternoon. Wrestling matches and marksmanship were held afterwards and were accepted as beneficial on the field of battle.

Sleigh rides in the winter were a popular activity for the young people. In the summer, walking would be a favorite activity for the young people to socialize among themselves. Many typical locations exist nearby, such as a running brook or one of the ponds, that will be well remembered by the persons in their later years.

The above selections are based on Stagecoaches and Railroads in Tolland, Vernon and Rockville 1807-1863 by Marshall A. Atwater. 2018, 85 pp.

Modification to Forecast for Winter Snowfall 2020-21

Just before the end of October., a snow dropped 2 to 6 inches of snow on northern Connecticut.  This was the second largest snowfall in October in Connecticut.  A comparison  for snow during the following winter shows snow during these years were generally well below normal,  Therefore I am goimg to reduce the forecast for total snow this winter by 10 inches at Bradley International Airport.

Nov 9, 2020

Forecast for Winter Snowfall 2020-21

Marshall A. Atwater

Forecasts of snow amounts for the coming winter are difficult to make.  I use a method that assumes the patterns established in the summer (data from May, June, July) will continues thru the following winter.  Then I find a summer pattern in the NOAA data for Bradley Airport and determine what the following winter produced.  Last year, there was a major change in the pattern at the end of the year from warm and wet to warm and dry.  The warm and dry pattern continued thru the summer.  One of the largest influences on the seasonal climate normality is the ENDO index of sea surface temperature in the equatorial Pacific.  The forecast for the coming winter is that it will be negative.

The past summer at Bradley Airport had the highest average temperature with little rainfall.    The data for the 10 warmest years in maximum temperatures since 1949 are shown in the table.  I also added the ENSO index where the index is negative for La Nina years.  Snowfall for the following winter are also included.

YearN 90+T MaxT MinT AvgRainENSO IndexSnow DJF+M
201026**84.7862.7473.769.524.184+2
19992684.8061.0272.915.972.0Missing
201924*84.9262.0973.518.670.523+7
199521*85.1760.1472.657.411.3Missing
19712385.2459.3172.279.25-.734+3
19732585.3463.4774.4111.34-1.824+14
196630*85.7260.9273.328.58-1.348+34
20162485.9561.7673.858.4-.341+20
1949 17**86.1961.1973.693.46-1.737+8
20203986.4262.5374.484.42-1.2 p 

          p   Predicted          Days with 100 deg = *     DJF+M=December, January, February and March 

The first four entries are the coolest of the 10 years and they had a positive ENSO index for the following winter and will not be used.  The two years that are closest in average temperature are 1973 with 1966 being the cooler year having lower nighttime temperatures.  The average snowfall for these years give 34 inches for DJF and 11 inches for March.  However March is highly variable ranging from 3 to 34 inches. The total forecast for the year is 45 inches of snow at Bradley Airport.  Higher amounts would be expected.in the hills and lower amounts along Long Island.  I expect this to be more accurate than the forecasts for 2100.

Snow Forecast 2019-20

In trying to decide significant weather events this year for Connecticut using Bradley Airport meteorological data., it was decided to start with  the summer average temperature and rainfall with possible modifications with September and October.  There were no one significant weather features this year.  The summer was rather warm without any dry spells.  The trend has continued into the fall.

The average data for the summer is:

Maximum Temperature              84.8

Minimum Temperature               62.1

Average Temperature                  73.5

Precipitation                                 8.73 inches

Years with similar summer statistics included the following years and the following winter snow  totals are given in the following table.

Year      Maximum Temperature              Precipitation     Snowfall

2010     84.5                                               9-.52                   84

1995     85.1                                               7.44                    85

1966     85.7                                               8.75                    59

Then I examined the data for September and October to see how the data was confirm in those months.

September

Yr                        T max    T Min    Precip

2019                   77.1      52.4      1.94

2010                   78.8      56.3      2.55

1995                   74.4      50.0      3.15

1966                   74.5      52.3      6.05

October

Yr                        T max    T Min    Precip

2019                   64.6      45.7      6.94  

2010                   62.7      42.9      5.31

1995                   67.7      43.9      9.46   

1966                   64.1      39.6      4.23

An examination of the monthly distribution shows the following average snowfalls

Nov Dec                           12

Jan                                    30

Feb                                   20

March                              10


Total                                 72 inches

Each of the three years the snow occurred within a six week period.  Two years were in January and one year was February/March.  Most of the snow will be from mid January to mid February.  How is that for going out on a limb over drifting snows.

The average snowfall at Bradley is 45 inches.  There were 40 inches in 2018-9.

Climate Change – Models vs. Observations

History of Climate Change

Many of the Presidential candidates called Climate Change (formerly Global Warming and now being changed to Climate Emergency) an “existential problem” that demands immediate action to dramatically curtail the increase in global surface temperatures.  When non-scientists refer to climatic change today, they are referring to the Androgenic Global Warming (AGW) portion of Climate Change that tends to increase surface temperatures.  AGW is hypothesized to be the result of burning fossil fuels that emit carbon dioxide to the atmosphere and thereby increase the greenhouse effect that warms the earth.  The particular problem of climatic change is really an old and familiar one.  Each generation seems to espouse some theory for the changing climate.  President Jefferson wrote about warming during his lifetime. Within my lifetime, climate change has been blamed on nuclear tests, atmospheric aerosol pollution, and now emission of carbon dioxide from burning of fossil fuels for energy.   

Actually, from the standpoint of meteorology, the weather is always changing, never static. The atmosphere is a restless medium undergoing all sorts of transitory variations-not only on an hourly or daily scale, but also on weekly, monthly, yearly, decadal, and greater scales up to the ice ages. Meteorologists are engaged in modestly detecting and predicting some of these variations over periods of a week or two. We would indeed be surprised if there were no major natural changes taking place even of the order of a year, two years, or even a century or longer.  

There are many theories about natural causes of geologic temperature changes that focus on changes in the solar output, or in changes to the earth’s solar orbit.  The last ice age peaked about 25,000 years ago and ice covered New England up to a mile thick with a significant lowering of the oceans.  Obviously, Man did not end the ice age because he had fires in the caves. 

Now, let’s concentrate on the past thousand years.  The early estimates of the global temperature indicated a Medieval Warm period starting about 1000 AD when the Viking farmers settled Greenland for more than 300 years and Vikings landed in Labrador and Newfoundland. This was followed by a cold period from 1450 to 1850 that is known as the Little Ice Age.  Certainly, there are historical accounts from the colonial period and the American Revolution on the extreme cold of this period.  For example, the Connecticut River often froze from October to May in the 17th century and the bitter cold at Valley Forge. What caused these changes?  The first thermometers were developed in 1709 and widescale surface temperature readings started in the late 1800s.  Recent analyses showed the following features:

  • Global temperatures rose about 0.9°F in two periods: 1910 to 1940 and 1970 to 2000.
  • A period of cooling occurred from 1940 to 1970
  • There was a pause with nearly constant temperature during the 15 years 2000-2015 
  • Warmer years occurred from 2015 to 2018 with a strong El Nino.

Now, Man is trying to forecast the future climate based on the theory that emissions of carbon dioxide from burning fossil fuels for energy will increase the warming to catastrophic levels by 2100.

Climate Models

The climate change theory that increased carbon dioxide results in a catastrophic increase in the earth’s temperature is modeled using climate models. Solar radiation from the Sun warms the Earth and infrared radiation emitted by the earth cools the planet. When long term incoming and outgoing radiative transfers are in balance, the global temperature will be unchanged.  The transfer computations are relatively well known and depend on the vertical concentrations of water vapor, carbon dioxide, and other minor gases for both the incoming solar radiation and the emitted infrared radiation.  However, the computations are complex and time consuming and the cloud data are difficult to include. Extensive radiation computations were added to meteorological forecasting models to develop climate models.  Radiative effects on atmospheric temperature are only one of many factors in temperature changes.

Universities and government institutes in many countries developed over 30 climate models in the 1990s that made projections of the climate until 2100 and are updated about every five years.  Energy use based on fossil fuels increased after World War II due to increased industry and population.  Carbon dioxide increased from 280 ppm in 1945 to 415 ppm today.  Climate models initially estimated the global temperature increase of 6°F with plus or minus 50% error in 2100.  The model results differ by 3 to 1.

A comparison of the model temperature results with observations show three major points:

  • Failure to match 20th century changes. The models were simulated for 30 year periods 1910-1940 and 1970 to 2000. There are only small statistical differences between the rate of warming between the periods.  Climate models failed to simulate the natural warming duri g 1910-1940 when the carbon dioxide was constant.
  • Divergence of model results in the early 21st century.  Statistically significant global warming of the surface stopped for the first 15 years.  The models failed to predict any period of 10 years in which the temperature would not rise with increasing carbon dioxide. 
  • Models are warmer than current observations. Overall, the climate models forecast temperatures that are higher than the observations for the last 20 years.  Currently all models predict more warming than observed. 

The results should give some indication to the lack of accuracy of the models on their 10 to 30 year forecasts and whether their forecasts for 100 years will be scientifically defensible.

What is causing the errors in the climate models that cause them to overestimate global warming?  Three major problems are well known:

  • Problem 1.  Water Vapor Changes.  The models predict the atmosphere will contain additional atmosphere water vapor.  Water vapor is highly variable in the atmosphere in both horizontal and vertical dimensions and may differ from the model’s assumptions.
  • Problem 2.  Cloud coverage changes.  The simulation of clouds in climate models remains challenging. There is very high confidence that uncertainties in cloud processes explain much of the spread in modelled climate sensitivity. Nevertheless, biases in cloud simulation lead to regional errors on cloud’s radiative effect of several tens of watts per square meter.  Climate scientists have downplayed these biases because they are mainly looking for carbon dioxide as the sole cause of the observed warming.
  • Problem 3.   Omission of long-term oceanic cycles.  Scientists know various long-term cycles such as ENSO, North Atlantic Oscillation, (NAO), and Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) influence the global average temperatures, but are not generally a predicted element in the global models.
  • Problem 4.  Solar activity is assumed constant in the models.  Sunspots increased during the past century from the lows during the little ice age.  Since 2000, the number of sunspots declined to low levels.  If the low activity continues, will the global temperature be reduced during the coming decades? While the output is nearly constant, one theory is that the solar activity indicated by sunspots may alter cosmic rays which may affect the formation of clouds. 

While modelers always think their models are representative, the models need to be verified using independent data. 

Climate Observations

The most common indicator of climate change is the global temperature that is computed monthly by several agencies in different countries. The global temperature is a calculated number based on stations on land, with some observations over the oceans, where each station represents the temperature measurement over wide areas of earth.  Since the 1970s, satellites have been used to estimate the lower atmospheric temperature. There are many problems with the calculated global average temperature that need to be considered.  Sites with temperature readings are opened and closed, and sites may be moved.   Missing data is often a problem at the sites.  Over time, the surroundings of the site may change and the temperature will change, such as increased urbanization. Changes in instrumentation may result in changes in temperature when accuracy is increased.  Some of the remote sites have a large weight in assessing small changes and any inaccuracies at the sites would be magnified. The calculations since 1880 have moved less than the distance on a thermometer that represent 2°F. 

While the global temperature can be used as an indicator of climate change, the actual temperature within a region provides the actual influence on the environment.  The surface warming over northern continents is largest in the middle to high latitudes. It is more pronounced in winter–spring and notably smaller in summer–autumn. In much of the eastern US, the summertime maximum trends are zero or slightly cooler in the past 75 years. One expects fewer very cold days in the winter (less than 10°F in New England) with minimal changes in the summer. 

Alarmists indicate there will be more severe weather such as hurricanes, tornadoes, floods, droughts, and wild fires.  Far ranging effects, such as reduction in polar ice and rising sea levels could make changes that affect plant and animal life around the planet. When severe weather occurs, it is often said “that you can see the climate changes occurring.”  However, if one looks at the meteorological data, it is difficult to discern any changes in severe or extreme weather in the last 75 years.  The evidence for any changes in severe weather is very difficult to detect due to its sporadic nature.  It is necessary to look at long term trends in the weather.

Prime examples include Hurricanes Katrina in New Orleans in 2005 and Sandy in New York in 2012 because of their extreme damages.  Current examples include the midwestern floods and high number of tornadoes in May 2019.  Yet they were just ‘weather events’ that had occurred in the region previously.  Their high damages increased from a larger population living in these areas. Hurricanes are fairly common in Louisiana.  Major hurricanes in the northeast were reported as early as 1635 with the last major hurricane in 1938 that killed more than 600. 

In the case of hurricanes, a WMO Task Team report on human effects on tropical cyclones in 2019 stated “Human activities may have already caused changes in tropical cyclone activity that are not yet detectable due to the small magnitude of these changes compared to estimated natural variability, or due to observational limitations.”  So, should we worry about nondetectable changes yet?

NOAA examined the frequency of tornadoes and strong tornadoes since 1950 and found  a slight negative trend in the frequency of tornadoes. What weather events, if any, can be related to the emission of carbon dioxide or to the recent climate changes?  According the IPCC report in 2014 on extremes

  • There is a lack of evidence on the sign of the trend in magnitude and frequency of floods.
  • There is no evidence of trends in hail and thunderstorms.
  • No evidence of trends for floods or droughts since the middle of the 20th century on a global scale.

Rising sea level changes are possibly the biggest danger caused by the projected global warming.  Many millions of people live within a few meters of sea level around the world. Some entire nations, such as Maldives and Bangladesh are within a couple of meters from sea level.  Sea levels has been rising for more than 200 years at between 1 and 2 mm per year  (6-8 inches increase in the 20th century). A recent paper predicted that the increase by 2100 would be up to 2 meters (80 inches or 2000 mm) with the water coming from the melting of the Greenland and Antarctica ice sheets.  In order to get a projected rise of 2 meters the rates will need to accelerate to record levels within the next few years by a factor of at least 10.  Are the climate scientists the Noah of our age or will it be just another spurious prediction?  So, when will the flood start? 

Proposed Solutions

The major assumption that the projections of the climate models are correct led the countries to sign the Paris Climate Agreement to limit the temperature to less than 2°C (preferably 1.5°C) above the 1800 temperature before the Industrial Revolution. (So was the warming in the 1800-1950 period due to CO2?).  ALL solutions to the problem are to drastically reduce the amount of carbon dioxide emitted by industrialized countries from oil, natural gas and coal for energy uses by 20% by 2020 and to nearly zero prior to 2050. There are fewer reductions for the developing countries including China and India. 

Climate change is a hot political issue in many parts of the world and the possible solutions are heavily political.  There is a continuing concerted effect by the governments to demonstrate to the world that global warming is due to emissions of carbon dioxide from fossil fuels and will cause a number of cataclysmic effects.  The Global Warming debate has entered the political arena and many politicians like the solutions in that the government may raise large sums of money implementing changes.  And in many respects, it has taken the form of a religion in which “This is the way to save the planet.”  

There are many problems in implementation for these goals and countries have been trying to solve the problem for the past 25 years, without much success.  Most solutions use wind and solar energy as replacement sources for fossil fuel for electrical generation with little mention of nuclear energy.  The major problems with wind and solar are the intermittent nature of these sources for most locations.  Only areas with high wind reliability, such as the southern Plains and off-shore provide sufficient steady winds to generate reliable electricity. The major problem with solar is the lack of sufficient storage facilities to provide energy when the sun is not available at night and during cloudy days and the lower availability in the northern latitudes.  In order to maintain electric grid reliability, many fossil fuel plants have to be ready to replace energy shortfalls. 

The reductions proposed for energy use are projected to cause massive disruptions to the global economies by the mid 21st century if high reliability of electricity is not maintained. Most solutions do not discuss the drastic changes in the life styles that would be necessary.  Fossil fuels would be heavily restricted for transportation, heating and cooling and for industry.  House temperatures would be reduced in winter and increased in summer with higher costs. Some have proposed a massive insulation effort for residences in the nation.

Most proposals are general and fail to show the effects that will be imposed on the general population. An American Congressman proposed elimination of air travel.  A  British Labor leader proposal to reduce wages by 75% for a 10 hour work week.  The climate plans of Ireland and other European counties propose gasoline and diesel cars will not be sold after 2030.  Ireland’s plan is to pack the population into “higher density” cities which will ‘revolutionize’ people’s lifestyle and behavior.  Other proposals include zero or one child families and reduction of meat in the diet.  It is difficult to see where all the required money will be obtained or whether the current economic and social  systems can survive.

Yet, we now have 75 years of observations of weather and climate data and are half way to 2100 to draw conclusions on the possible climate from the observations. The most likely outcome appears to be a slight warming of the winter months.  The current question is whether we need to upend our economy to forestall catastrophic changes that are foretold in the models, but not apparent in the observations. 

The application of the theory needs to follows the rules of the scientific method.  In particular, the theory of AGW needs revision as the models used around the world are consistently showing overwarming.  The magnitude of the global warming is largely unknown after numerous ‘revisions’ of the global temperature data.  The increased presence of extreme weather is not supported by meteorological data.  Climate theory cannot be exempted from verification because most of the work is funded by governments.

Any major change in the global economies aimed at affecting climate will probably have little effect on the climate, but will impose an unneeded expense on the poor and in many parts of the world the poor will be denied electricity. There is certainly not enough evidence that would require the energy supply using carbon to be shut down with a resultant change in the way Man lives within the next 20 years.  When does someone say “The emperor hath no clothes!” 

The Winter of 2018-19

Last October I made the following snowfall forecast for Bradley Airport.

I will estimate the snowfall to be 28 to 32 inches at Bradley.  The average snowfall is 45 inches.

The winter is over with the following monthly snow totals.’

Nov.                       8.0

Dec                         0.2   

Jan                        12.4

Feb                          9.2

Mar                       10.2

Total                     40.0

The largest one-day snowfall was the Nov 15 storm with 8 inches with most of it occurring between 5 PM and midnight.  The total snowfall was less than the normal 45 inches with little snow occurring during the two months after the first storm.

Paper given at ASCH Nov. 3, 2018

TURNPIKES, WAGONS, AND STAGECOACHES: TRANSPORTATION IN CONNECTICUT IN EARLY NINETEENTH CENTURY

 Transportation in Connecticut after the Revolutionary War was in poor shape.  Travel generally consisted of short distances within a town by walking, horseback or with horse- or oxen-drawn wagons owned by farmers. The roads were at times so hard and rutted that they threatened to shake a vehicle to pieces and at other times, so muddy as to be virtually impassable. Rain and ice in New England were enemies of the country roads. The best travel conditions of the year were by sleigh after a winter storm.

Repairs to town roads were often done by the farmers when they were available and not when the roads most needed repairs. Town roads allowed the residents to go to the gristmill, sawmill or the meeting house and were generally kept in good repair. In 1795, the towns were given the authority to levy taxes to pay for road repairs.

The construction of country roads between towns were problematical because most towns were self-sufficient with little interest in roads to nearby towns.  For example, Tolland, near the center of the county, lacked major roads to connect with other towns in the county or the state government at Hartford and New Haven when it was named the county seat. A petition to the General Assembly for a direct road connection to Hartford was rejected in 1797.

Travel over long distances was seldom made and required extensive planning. Travel by wagons and coaches was slow, difficult and dangerous with few vehicles on the roads until the 1790s when most travel was by horseback.  The thirty-six miles from Pomfret to Providence was a half days journey by horse back, but 2 days by wagon[i].   The need for better roads and vehicles was apparent to any traveler.

Turnpikes

The first private turnpike in the United States was the 62-mile Philadelphia to Lancaster turnpike in 1792. The success of the turnpike led to the formation of corporations in other states to build or improve specified roads and to collect tolls for investors seeking a return on their money.

For the next 40 years, turnpike corporations worked with the states along assigned routes to create roads suitable for improved travel. Connecticut chartered 77 turnpike corporations by 1830 with the peak decade 1801 to 1810 with 37 charters. Connecticut companies tended to spend less money for turnpikes than other states because many turnpike corporations simply improved existing public roads and avoided heavy expenditures for rights of way.

The large number of turnpike corporations resulted in the first large scale road building that linked towns in the new country. The idea behind most designs was to connect the end points in a straight line without many deviations. The turnpike routes are the basis of many state routes today and the names of many streets often refer to an earlier turnpike.

While the turnpikes were crude by modern standards, they demonstrated many improvements over the earlier roads. Most turnpikes were two-way thoroughfares, about 24 feet wide. To avoid muddiness and road erosion, drainage was provided by giving the road a convex surface to shed the water by digging ditches on both sides and piling up the dirt to crown in the center of the road.

Tollgates were typically placed about every 10 miles.  Typical fees charged at each tollgate include 25 cents for four-wheel carriages and stagecoaches, 12.5 cents for two horse chaise, sulky or pleasure sleigh, 9 cents for wagons drawn by four animals, and four cents for horse and rider. Horses, cattle and mules were charged one cent and sheep and swine were charged one third of a cent. Free passage was given for persons going to or from church, a town meeting or the grist mill.

Copies of a map of Connecticut turnpikes by F. K. Wood in his 1919 book are available.

The early northern road from New York to Boston ran through New Haven, Hartford, Springfield, and Worcester. The southern road ran along the coast using ferries to cross the major rivers. The Boston Turnpike Corporation was formed in 1798 to develop a turnpike from East Hartford to Bolton, Coventry, Ashford, Pomfret and Thompson with connections to a Massachusetts turnpike that went to Boston. The current Route 44 follows the route to Ashford after which the turnpike takes a path north of route 44. East Hartford opposed the turnpike in its town and was able to prevent the turnpike until 1812. Tolls were collected in Bolton, Mansfield and Pomfret.

In 1802, Connecticut issued a charter to the Hartford-Tolland Turnpike Corporation to upgrade existing roads from East Hartford to the Tolland Court House. The route was along Tolland Street in East Hartford, Tolland Turnpike in Manchester, Hartford Turnpike (Route 30) in Vernon and Route 74 in Tolland.

The Stafford Mineral Spring Turnpike from Tolland to Stafford Springs, Staffordsville, and Holland Massachusetts was chartered in 1803. It ran on a path from Route 74 in Tolland to the center of Stafford Springs to Staffordsville to New City Rd to Holland, Mass., Sturbridge, Charlton and continued to Worcester and to Boston.  When this road was completed in 1807 in conjunction with the Hartford-Tolland Turnpike, most of the traffic on the northern route from Hartford to Springfield to Worcester was diverted to this much shorter route. This road was an important road serving a prosperous territory and heavy traffic was reported for many years.

The turnpikes through East Hartford needed to connect to Hartford by crossing the Connecticut River. Since early times, Hartford had a charter to provide ferry boats to cross the river. After much opposition, Connecticut chartered a corporation to build a toll bridge across the Connecticut River in 1802. It took eight years to build because of continual opposition from ferrymen. The bridge only lasted eight years before being swept away in a flood in 1818. It was replaced by a 150-foot covered wood bridge of six arch trusses, which remained until it burned in 1895. Tolls were collected on the bridge until 1879. The bridge was located where I-84 now crosses the Connecticut River.

More than 1,600 miles of turnpikes were built in Connecticut between 1795 and 1830. Over 5000 miles of turnpikes were built in the first road building projects in the United States. Many turnpikes were financial failures because the cost of building the turnpikes exceeded the revenues collected from tolls. By 1825, more than half of the turnpike ventures in the country had been either partially or totally abandoned. In these cases, the town became responsible for maintaining the turnpike. Most Connecticut turnpike corporations ceased before 1840, but most turnpikes remained open to the public.

The building of the turnpikes significantly improved the comfort and speed for overland travel. Benjamin Silliman wrote in 1819 about his travels on a turnpike as:

The fine turnpike we commenced our journey was but a few years since a most rugged and uncomfortable road; now we passed it with ease and rapidity, scarcely perceiving its beautiful undulations.[ii]

The improvements in roads that resulted from the building of the turnpikes created a demand for better wheeled vehicles and allowed stagecoaches to become more regular during the early 1800s. The turnpikes allowed increased pleasure travel and commercial travel for farmers and the textile industry to send its goods to the nearby population centers or to the coast for trading. Large number of heavy wagons drawn by four, six and eight horses or oxen passed along the turnpikes laden with produce for the market and returned with merchandise for the country stores. To give an indication of the amount of traffic on the turnpikes, the first year for a railroad to the seven Rockville textile mills, there were 17,000 tons of freight.  However, I am going to concentrate on stage coaching and the start of the travel industry from about 1810 to 1850.

 

Stagecoaching

The first stagecoach company in New England was established by Levi Pease of Enfield in 1783 with one-way trips between Boston and Hartford taking three and a half days each way and stopping for the night at taverns. The stagecoach departed from Boston on Monday morning and stopped for the night in Northborough, Brookfield and Enfield to arrive in Hartford on noon Thursday. It connected with a stage to New York that arrived on Saturday.   Other stagecoaches traveled in the opposite direction. Springfield was added as a stop a year later. In the beginning, there were few passengers.

In 1792, the U.S. Postal Service was created. At that time, there was one mail delivery a week between Hartford and Boston and that was carried on horseback or in a one-horse sulky. The Postal Service then decided to use stagecoaches to move mail between cities. In the following years, many stagecoach companies were created to carry the mail and passengers.

After 1800, stagecoach construction improved with egg-shaped coaches hung from the frames by leather strapping, which created a forward and backward motion of the coaches, which was more comfortable for the passengers. The entrance was on one side with the front seat facing backwards. The three seats had broad leather straps for seat backs. A foot stove within the coach radiated heat for a   considerable time when filled with hot coals in the winter.  The driver was on the outside of the coach unprotected from the weather. The luggage rack in the rear was covered with leather curtains.

Stagecoaches provided transportation for the public by traveling in ‘stages.’  A stage was the distance one team of horses traveled before they were changed for a new team of horses. Most stages were 10 to 18 miles in length, depending on the terrain, and ended at a tavern where the driver and passengers obtained refreshments and the horses were fed and given water and teams of horses were available for the next stage.  These taverns were generally larger and fully equipped by the owner with a bartender, stable hands, and cooks.  The stage routes became the arteries of communication between the city, hamlets and villages by carrying mail and newspapers. Stagecoaches allowed travelers access to near and distant cities.

Stagecoach drivers were larger-than-life figures. Going over the same roads, they grew deeply versed in the local lore and history and the traditions and tales of each locality. They had great influence in the community and their word was law. In the summer, they kept the passengers in a jovial mood with their observations and friendliness. The stage drivers were universally kind and careful of all children placed under their charge; even young children, boys and girls, were entrusted to their care.

Drivers often announced the arrival and departure of their coach by blowing on an English-style trumpet and usually ate their meals with passengers, a custom that class-conscious travelers from abroad were quick to take as a sign of the new nation’s democratic principles.

Most stagecoaches carried nine passengers inside and could accommodate one passenger next to the driver. If women were in the stagecoaches, they were seated in the rear seat with the gentlemen in the front. Four horses pulled the coaches and traveled 4 to 6 miles per hour. In 1827, the Concord stagecoach became the pre-eminent stagecoach and was similar to those seen in western movies. The stagecoach was a democratic vehicle that was not made for any class of society. Rich rode with poor, men with women, and visiting English gentlemen with American laborers and the American people had a vehicle for the people.

The travelers had ample time to enjoy the scenery while traveling many hours in the stagecoach. In the Puritanical era renowned for its propriety and formality. Perfect strangers, men and women, might have to interlock knees in the crowded space or rest a weary head on another’s shoulder. Some passengers may drink too much alcohol and others may form impromptu songfests. The public seldom complained of the uncomfortable and weary condition of the stagecoach journey. The overturning of a stage was not too disastrous. Nevertheless, it provided plenty of thrills. Yet the happenings of a stagecoach journey were endured with fortitude.

Stagecoach travel became faster with overland transit times reduced by 75% from 1800 to 1830. In 1814, a stagecoach route left Hartford for Boston at 9 a.m. and arrived in Boston at 5 p.m. the following day.  In 1832, the Hartford-Boston trip was completed in one day with 3 a.m. departure and arrival in Worcester about 5 p.m. and Boston about 11 p.m.

With the completion of the Blackstone Canal, Worcester became a hub for stagecoaches in eastern Massachusetts with daily routes to Boston, Lowell, Northampton or any of 12 other nearby cities. By the 1830s, Southern Mail (which also ran on Sunday), Tremont, Citizens, and Telegraph operated daily stagecoaches in both directions between Worcester and Hartford. The most popular route was through Charlton and Holland, Mass, Stafford, Tolland and Vernon. Hartford routes carried the largest number of passengers at Worcester with about 30,000 passengers estimated on these routes a year in 1836. These routes had 50 stagecoaches a week. [iii]

Long distance stagecoaches between Hartford and Boston had gone through Tolland since 1807.  During this period, Tolland prospered.  By 1840, there were three General stores, a tailor shop, shoemaker, a blacksmith shop, two large taverns, two carriage and wagon makers and a furniture maker that included made-to-order coffins, a bank, an insurance company, three new churches, a new Courthouse and a jail surrounding the Green and about 5 attorneys.  Many of the buildings remain today.  For a few years, there was a Tolland Academy with about 60 students, about half from out of town, that gave an academic flavor. And the town would be crowded on Court days with extra help in the stores.

Boston investors-built railroad lines to Providence, Lowell and Worcester that became operational in late 1836. By 1842, ten passenger trains a day were leaving Worcester for Boston for a three-hour trip that took seven hours by stagecoach. By 1850, one could travel from Hartford to Boston by railroad effectively ending long distance stagecoaches in Connecticut.  Stagecoaches were used on local routes in rural Connecticut until the end of the century.

Stage coaching was a large-scale enterprise and culture. It was a source of livelihood for a significant number of individuals: proprietors, drivers and ticket agents, coach manufacturers and blacksmith, tavern owners and stable hands, and the farmers who raised the horses and grew the oats, corn, and hay that kept them running. Stage coaching was America’s first transportation system and allowed the nation to become readily mobile and better informed when travel and communication were one and the same. During this period, most of the land was occupied with farms and cities were small.

Stagecoaches, wagons, and turnpikes determined the pace of life during the beginning of the 19th century and provided an overland transportation system and a communications system for the new nation.  It allowed small towns to thrive and set the stage for cities to develop.  It provided the basis for the railroads, trolleys, automobiles and airplanes that followed in the next 200 years.  The old turnpikes, wagons, and stagecoaches did their job well.

————–

[i] DeLuca, Richard, 2011, Post Roads & Iron Horses: Transportation in Connecticut from Colonial Times to  the Age of Steam. Wesleyan University Press. P42.

[ii] DeLuca, Richard, 2011, Post Roads & Iron Horses: Transportation in Connecticut from Colonial Times to  the Age of Steam. Wesleyan University Press. P77.

[iii] Lincoln, William, 1837. History of Worcester, MA, Moses Phillips and Company, 317-321.

 

2018 Winter Forecast

 

The past summer was noted for its high temperature and high amount of rainfall without the benefit of ay tropical storms.  There were no days in which a new record was set for the maximum temperature.  A key element of the summer was high humidity, which increased the nighttime minimum temperature. And increased the discomfort during the day with a higher heat index.  The statistics given by NOAA for
Bradley area:

 

  Month  High Low Mean Rain
JUN:   79.7  56.3   68.0    4.03
JUL:    87.5  64.7   76.1    2.21
Aug    85.6  66.2   75.9    9.10
SUMMER:    84.3  62.5   73.4  15.34

 

So, I examined the data at Bradley International Airport since 1949 to find similar years and then examined the following winter for the weather to be expected.  The summer of 1973 was most similar to the past summer.  June and August were both wet with July relatively dry.  A number of other years had similar summer weather, including 1952, 1991, and 2005.  Other years that were close includes 1988, 2002, and 2013.  Some statistics for the years are shown in the following table with the weather for the following winter.

Year Summer Average Temperature Summer Precipitation Winter
Average

Temperature

Winter Snowfall
1973 74.4 11.3 29.2 30
2005 73.9 12.6 30.4 19
1952 72.6 10.6 32.4 38
1999 72.4 13.9 28.2 23

 

Therefore I will estimate the snowfall to be 28 to 32 inches at Bradley.  The average snowfall is 45 inches. The predicted average temperature of 30 degrees is about 1.7 degrees warmer than normal.